Fire Program Analysis Title
April/May 2009

All 139 Fire Planning Units’ Analyses are In, Great Job!
Thank you to each of the 139 Fire Planner Unit's planners and partners, for completing the required 12 investment alternatives and running them through the FPA system! These investment alternatives were submitted in time to be included in the initial national analysis being done by the department-level fire budget offices in the U.S. Forest Service and Department of the Interior.

Current Topics:

139 FPU's Analysis in
Gold bullet Model Assumptions
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FPU& MAT Feedback
content bullet Preliminary IST Findings
graphic box Web updates
What's Next?
graphic box Short-term Timeline

Fire Program Analysis

Fire Program Analysis (FPA) system is a common interagency decision support tool for wildland fire planning and budgeting.
This tool will enable wildland fire managers in the five federal land management agencies to plan jointly.

The FPA System:
is designed to encourage tribal, state, and local agency participation.
incorporates geospatial data which provide the means to map effects of wildland fire on lands across the country.
generates outcomes from fire planning units that
provide information to the national budget planning process.
will provide a way for land managers to compare
trade-offs between wildland fire program components.
is a tool to ensure wildland fire management actions help meet performance measures outlined in the 10-Year Comprehensive Strategy.

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For more information visit http://fpa.nifc.gov
or call Venetia Gempler
208-947-3786

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FPA System Reference

Links:FPA system helpdesk at fire_help@fs.fed.us or at: 1-800-253-5559.

FPA "Quick Start" instruction guide. The Quick Start instruction guide walks FPUs through the initial FPA process with reference and instructional links.

Review the FPA White Papers. These papers will describe how the model uses different resources, fuel treatments, or data.

FPA User Guide is available on the FPA web site. It walks the user through the system step by step.

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bullet High Level FPA Model Assumptions: A number of assumptions were approved and adopted during the development of the FPA system, such as, but not limited to:

  • Use of existing broad scale enterprise data sources (example: LANDFIRE)
  • Use of standard fuel models (Scott & Burgan and Anderson)
  • Use of National Wildfire Coordinating Group's (NWCG) constant production rates for initial response resources
  • FPU-driven inputs that are based on land and fire management plans
  • FPA outputs were designed to respond to FPA performance metrics based on concerns expressed by the interagency Wildland Fire Leadership Council
  • Interagency FPUs would work in collaboration to develop strategies that improve the efficiency and effectiveness of the FPU's fire management programs

 

bullet Fire Planning Unit's and Management Advisory Team's (MAT) Feedback is being shared with the Interagency Science Team and Executive Oversight Group. Their suggestions include:

  • Consistency in guidance for Fire Planning Units to use in developing their investment alternatives and submitting to the national goal programming tool.
  • Continue to improve the national data sets (LANDFIRE, Wildland Urban Interface, and nationally significant Highly Valued Resources)
  • Improvements in collecting/compiling local data used in the analysis, such as, historic fire records and weather data
  • Development of a local tool to display trade-off analysis and what-if scenarios.

 

bullet FPA's Interagency Science Team (IST) Preliminary Findings Encouraging. Members of the FPA IST were in Boise the week of April 13, to do hands-on analysis of Wave 1 and 2 FPU's investment alternatives for FY2011. The focus of this review was to answer basic quality assurance questions.

FPA application components work as envisioned

  • Extensive examination of Initial Response Simulator (IRS) by the FPA development team, IST, and FPU partners provide confidence that the system components are working as predicted.
  • Results for the "FSim" runs produced in the Large Fire Module show flame lengths and fire sizes consistent with typical and historical fire behavior.
  • There are strong relationships between four of the five performance measures.

 

bullet FPA Web Updates:

 

bullet What's Next?

  • Tell us what's on your mind!. A series “after action review” type of interactions are being planned by the FPA Project for this summer and fall. Now, is the time to begin thinking about your feedback. More to come.
  • LANDFIRE Refresh workshops to update the national fuels layers are underway. To participate in the workshops click on the link above or visit: www.LANDFIRE.gov

 

bullet Short-term Due Dates: The due date for submission of year two analysis is February 1, 2010. These are the tasks and due dates FPUs should be working towards in the short-term to meet the February 1 due date. The project is completing a detailed year two time line and will post to the FPA web site soon.

  • May 29, 2009 -  Wave 3  FPU boundary changes due (If needed)
  • June 1, 2009 -  Weather Station changes due (If needed)
  • July  1,  2009 -  FPUs provide fuel prescription updates for the Large Fire  Module
  • July 17, 2009 -  Fire Workload Area boundary changes due (All FWAs must be run through the FPA FWA QA/QC validation tool. Questions, contact Craig Thompson at: craig_thompson@nps.gov)
  • July 26, 2009 - The last day FPUs can do "what if" analysis
  • July 27 - August 3, 2009 - FPA system unavailable for analysis runs while  data are archived from year one and updates loaded for year two analysis
  • August 4, 2009 - FPA system available to start year two analysis